Lazio 1-0 AC Milan | 15 Mar 2026 | xGtoday
Lazio vs AC Milan in review
Lazio beat AC Milan 1-0, an outcome our model had put at 23%.
AC Milan won the xG battle without winning the match, and their rating still rose 0.5 to 84.7.
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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
full-time report
Lazio beat AC Milan 1-0, an outcome our model had put at 23%.
AC Milan won the xG battle without winning the match, and their rating still rose 0.5 to 84.7.