Real Madrid vs Málaga CF prediction | 30 Aug 2026 | xGtoday


Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

90.6 → 90.2 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 14 May Oviedo (H) 89.6 -0.4
0-1 17 May Sevilla (A) 89.4 -0.2
4-2 23 May Athletic Club (H) 89.6 +0.2
1-2 22 Aug Espanyol (A) 90.0 +0.4
4-1 26 Aug Real Sociedad (H) 90.2 +0.2
Málaga CF
Ranking: #89 overall, #17 in Spain

70.6 → 73.5 (+2.9 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 Jun Las Palmas (H) 73.1 +0.2
0-0 14 Jun Almería (H) 72.8 -0.3
1-2 20 Jun Almería (A) 73.4 +0.6
2-0 19 Aug Atl Madrid (A) 73.2 -0.2
1-1 24 Aug La Coruña (H) 73.5 +0.3

Real Madrid vs Málaga CF: by the numbers

Málaga CF trail Real Madrid by 83 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 15 in Spain.

Málaga CF arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.9 rating points over their last 10 matches against Real Madrid's -0.4.

Last time these teams played, on 15 Apr 2018, Real Madrid gained 0.2 rating points.

The highest Real Madrid have ever stood in our European rankings is #3, first reached on 26 Jul 2018.

Málaga CF first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 74.7 on 27 Jul 2017.