Aston Villa vs Arsenal prediction | 31 Aug 2026 | xGtoday


Aston Villa
Ranking: #23 overall, #11 in England

83.1 → 82.7 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 10 May Burnley (A) 81.6 -0.7
4-2 15 May Liverpool (H) 82.0 +0.4
0-3 20 May Freiburg (A) 82.7 +0.7
1-2 24 May Man City (A) 83.5 +0.8
4-0 23 Aug Brighton (A) 82.7 -0.8
Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1

Aston Villa vs Arsenal: by the numbers

Aston Villa trail Arsenal by 21 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 10 in England.

The recent trend shows Aston Villa on the rise, -0.4 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Arsenal has gone the other way at -2.2.

Arsenal lost 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 30 Dec 2025.

The highest Aston Villa have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #16, first reached on 7 Jan 2024.

Arsenal first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 96.8 on 7 Feb 2026.