Burnley vs Middlesbrough prediction | 2 Sep 2026 | xGtoday


Burnley
Ranking: #170 overall, #24 in England

68.5 → 68.1 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 18 May Arsenal (A) 68.7 0.0
1-1 24 May Wolves (H) 68.0 -0.7
2-2 16 Aug West Ham (H) 68.9 +0.9
3-1 23 Aug West Brom (A) 68.7 -0.2
4-1 29 Aug Norwich City (A) 68.1 -0.6
Middlesbrough
Ranking: #74 overall, #19 in England

73.7 → 74.3 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 12 May Southampton (A) 73.9 -0.5
1-0 23 May Hull City (A) 73.6 -0.3
2-1 15 Aug Lincoln City (H) 73.8 +0.2
2-1 22 Aug Blackburn (A) 73.9 +0.1
3-1 29 Aug West Brom (H) 74.3 +0.4

Burnley vs Middlesbrough: by the numbers

Middlesbrough sit 96 places above Burnley in our European rankings, and 5 places above them in England.

Middlesbrough arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches against Burnley's -0.4.

Middlesbrough lost 0.2 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 29 Dec 2024.

The best xGtoday rating Burnley have ever held is 79.3, first set on 30 Nov 2019.

Middlesbrough first climbed to joint #70 in our European rankings on 24 Oct 2023.