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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
79.6 → 78.2 (-1.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 13 May Espanyol (A) | 78.2 0.0 | |
| 17 May Celta Vigo (H) | 79.0 +0.8 | |
| 23 May Real Madrid (A) | 78.8 -0.2 | |
| 22 Aug Sevilla (H) | 78.4 -0.4 | |
| 27 Aug Barcelona (A) | 78.2 -0.2 |
80.0 → 78.6 (-1.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 17 May Girona (H) | 80.6 -0.5 | |
| 24 May Villarreal (A) | 80.0 -0.6 | |
| 19 Aug Málaga (H) | 80.1 +0.1 | |
| 23 Aug Villarreal (H) | 78.6 -1.5 | |
| 29 Aug Sevilla (A) | 78.6 0.0 |
Athletic Club trail Atlético Madrid by 1 place in our proprietary European rankings, and by 1 in Spain.
Athletic Club lost 0.6 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 25 Apr 2026.
Athletic Club first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 84.6 on 13 Jan 2024.
Atlético Madrid first climbed to joint #6 in our European rankings on 14 Dec 2019.