Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction | 6 Sep 2026 | xGtoday


Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1
Chelsea
Ranking: #8 overall, #4 in England

90.2 → 86.6 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 04 May Nottm Forest (H) 87.9 -0.3
1-1 09 May Liverpool (A) 88.0 +0.1
2-1 19 May Tottenham (H) 87.0 -1.0
2-1 24 May Sunderland (A) 86.0 -1.0
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6

Arsenal vs Chelsea: by the numbers

Chelsea trail Arsenal by 6 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 3 in England.

The recent trend shows Arsenal on the rise, -2.2 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Chelsea has gone the other way at -3.6.

Chelsea gained 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 1 Mar 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Arsenal have ever held is 96.8, first set on 7 Feb 2026.

Chelsea first climbed to #2 in our European rankings on 5 May 2021.