Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 prediction | 6 Sep 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Hamburger SV Hamburg Rating: 71.3
H
30%
2.50
6 Sep 2026
Bundesliga
D
29%
3.60
1. FSV Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Rating: 79.3
A
42%
2.60
Hamburger SV
Ranking: #118 overall, #21 in Germany

71.3 → 71.3 (0.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-2 25 Apr Hoffenheim (H) 70.1 +0.2
1-2 02 May Frankfurt (A) 70.4 +0.3
3-2 10 May Freiburg (H) 71.3 +0.9
1-1 16 May Leverkusen (A) 71.2 -0.1
2-0 29 Aug Dortmund (A) 71.3 +0.1
1. FSV Mainz 05
Ranking: #41 overall, #6 in Germany

78.0 → 79.3 (+1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-4 25 Apr Bayern Munich (H) 79.0 +0.8
1-2 03 May St. Pauli (A) 79.8 +0.8
1-3 10 May Union Berlin (H) 78.6 -1.2
0-2 16 May Heidenheim (A) 79.4 +0.8
0-0 29 Aug Paderborn 07 (H) 79.3 -0.1

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05: by the numbers

1. FSV Mainz 05 sit 77 places above Hamburger SV in our European rankings, and 15 places above them in Germany.

Over their last 10 matches 1. FSV Mainz 05 have moved +1.3 rating points, against +0.0 for Hamburger SV.

1. FSV Mainz 05 gained 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 20 Feb 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Hamburger SV have ever held is 77.0, first set on 15 Feb 2020.

1. FSV Mainz 05 first climbed to #32 in our European rankings on 22 Sep 2021.