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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
79.4 → 78.7 (-0.7 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 14 May Rayo (H) | 77.8 -0.6 | |
| 17 May Real Sociedad (A) | 78.4 +0.6 | |
| 23 May Barcelona (H) | 78.8 +0.4 | |
| 22 Aug Celta Vigo (H) | 78.6 -0.2 | |
| 25 Aug Betis (H) | 78.7 +0.1 |
91.6 → 90.9 (-0.7 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 13 May Alavés (A) | 91.1 -0.4 | |
| 17 May Betis (H) | 90.6 -0.5 | |
| 23 May Valencia (A) | 90.1 -0.5 | |
| 23 Aug Elche (A) | 90.6 +0.5 | |
| 27 Aug Athletic Club (H) | 90.9 +0.3 |
There are 39 places between these two in our European rankings, with FC Barcelona the higher, and 3 places between them in Spain.
Valencia CF gained 0.4 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 23 May 2026.
The best xGtoday rating Valencia CF have ever held is 83.7, first set on 14 Apr 2019.
FC Barcelona first climbed to #4 in our European rankings on 17 Apr 2019.