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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
64.2 → 65.0 (+0.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr Coventry (A) | 64.2 +0.2 | |
| 02 May Boro (H) | 64.2 0.0 | |
| 17 Aug Cardiff City (A) | 64.6 +0.4 | |
| 22 Aug Watford (H) | 65.2 +0.6 | |
| 28 Aug Birmingham (H) | 65.0 -0.2 |
68.5 → 68.1 (-0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 18 May Arsenal (A) | 68.7 0.0 | |
| 24 May Wolves (H) | 68.0 -0.7 | |
| 16 Aug West Ham (H) | 68.9 +0.9 | |
| 23 Aug West Brom (A) | 68.7 -0.2 | |
| 29 Aug Norwich City (A) | 68.1 -0.6 |
There are 58 places between these two in our European rankings, with Burnley the higher, and 7 places between them in England.
Over their last 10 matches Wrexham have moved +0.8 rating points, against -0.4 for Burnley.
Wrexham first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 66.0 on 21 Feb 2026.
The highest Burnley have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #36, first reached on 30 Nov 2019.