Derby County vs Birmingham City prediction | 12 Sep 2026 | xGtoday


Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4
Birmingham City
Ranking: #199 overall, #29 in England

66.2 → 66.6 (+0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 25 Apr Bristol City (H) 65.4 +0.2
1-1 02 May Portsmouth (A) 66.3 +0.9
0-0 15 Aug Sheff Utd (A) 66.9 +0.6
2-2 22 Aug Bristol City (H) 66.5 -0.4
1-2 28 Aug Wrexham (A) 66.6 +0.1

Derby County vs Birmingham City: by the numbers

There are 62 places between these two in our European rankings, with Birmingham City the higher, and 8 places between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Birmingham City have moved +0.4 rating points, against -2.8 for Derby County.

Last time these teams played, on 21 Mar 2026, Derby County gained 0.6 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Derby County have ever held is 68.4, first set on 22 Dec 2018.

The highest Birmingham City have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #127, first reached on 22 Dec 2018.