Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction | 12 Sep 2026 | xGtoday


Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

89.8 → 90.3 (+0.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 17 May Sevilla (A) 89.4 -0.2
4-2 23 May Athletic Club (H) 89.6 +0.2
1-2 22 Aug Espanyol (A) 90.0 +0.4
4-1 26 Aug Real Sociedad (H) 90.2 +0.2
4-0 30 Aug Málaga (H) 90.3 +0.1
Rayo Vallecano
Ranking: #66 overall, #13 in Spain

76.6 → 75.4 (-1.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 17 May Villarreal (H) 77.3 +0.3
1-2 23 May Alavés (A) 77.3 0.0
1-0 27 May Crystal Palace (A) 76.7 -0.6
2-1 15 Aug Sevilla (A) 76.6 -0.1
1-1 20 Aug Alavés (H) 75.4 -1.2

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: by the numbers

Rayo Vallecano trail Real Madrid by 60 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 11 in Spain.

The recent trend shows Real Madrid on the rise, +0.5 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Rayo Vallecano has gone the other way at -1.2.

Last time these teams played, on 1 Feb 2026, Rayo Vallecano lost 0.1 rating points.

The highest Real Madrid have ever stood in our European rankings is #3, first reached on 26 Jul 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Rayo Vallecano have ever held is 78.3, first set on 9 Mar 2025.