Watford vs Stoke City prediction | 12 Sep 2026 | xGtoday


Watford
Ranking: #257 overall, #36 in England

64.9 → 63.7 (-1.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
5-1 25 Apr Boro (A) 63.4 -0.2
0-4 02 May Coventry (H) 63.8 +0.4
2-1 16 Aug Southampton (H) 63.3 -0.5
1-1 22 Aug Wrexham (A) 62.7 -0.6
1-1 29 Aug West Ham (H) 63.7 +1.0
Stoke City
Ranking: #396 overall, #49 in England

62.0 → 59.7 (-2.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 25 Apr Portsmouth (H) 60.6 0.0
2-0 02 May Bristol City (A) 60.1 -0.5
1-2 15 Aug Swansea City (H) 60.2 +0.1
3-1 22 Aug Southampton (A) 59.9 -0.3
4-1 29 Aug Wolves (A) 59.7 -0.2

Watford vs Stoke City: by the numbers

Stoke City trail Watford by 139 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 13 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Watford have moved -1.2 rating points, against -2.3 for Stoke City.

Stoke City lost 0.1 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 14 Mar 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Watford have ever held is 78.8, first set on 22 Dec 2018.

The highest Stoke City have ever stood in our European rankings is #113, first reached on 22 Sep 2018.