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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
84.8 → 85.5 (+0.7 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 02 May Famalicão (A) | 84.8 -0.7 | |
| 11 May Braga (H) | 85.2 +0.4 | |
| 16 May Estoril (A) | 85.4 +0.2 | |
| 09 Aug Académico (H) | 85.4 0.0 | |
| 17 Aug Casa Pia (A) | 85.5 +0.1 |
73.6 → 73.1 (-0.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 17 May NAC Breda (H) | 71.6 -0.9 | |
| 08 Aug ADO (H) | 71.7 +0.1 | |
| 15 Aug Utrecht (A) | 72.6 +0.9 | |
| 22 Aug Fortuna (A) | 73.2 +0.6 | |
| 29 Aug Go Ahead (H) | 73.1 -0.1 |
There are 82 places between these two in our European rankings, with SL Benfica the higher.
Over their last 10 matches SL Benfica have moved +0.7 rating points, against -0.5 for AZ Alkmaar.
The highest SL Benfica have ever stood in our European rankings is #7, first reached on 2 May 2025.
AZ Alkmaar first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 76.2 on 29 Aug 2021.