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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
79.7 → 79.3 (-0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr Hamburg (A) | 78.4 -0.2 | |
| 02 May Stuttgart (H) | 79.0 +0.6 | |
| 09 May Bremen (H) | 78.9 -0.1 | |
| 16 May Gladbach (A) | 79.2 +0.3 | |
| 29 Aug Köln (A) | 79.3 +0.1 |
65.4 → 63.7 (-1.7 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov Nottm Forest (H) | 64.9 -0.5 | |
| 27 Nov Panathinaikos (A) | 65.0 +0.1 | |
| 11 Dec Crvena zvezda (H) | 65.0 0.0 | |
| 22 Jan Feyenoord (A) | 64.8 -0.2 | |
| 29 Jan Brann (H) | 63.7 -1.1 |
SK Sturm Graz trail TSG Hoffenheim by 216 places in our proprietary European rankings.
Over their last 10 matches TSG Hoffenheim have moved -0.4 rating points, against -1.7 for SK Sturm Graz.
The best xGtoday rating TSG Hoffenheim have ever held is 83.9, first set on 11 May 2019.
SK Sturm Graz first climbed to joint #190 in our European rankings on 24 Sep 2025.