Ajax vs Excelsior prediction | 19 Sep 2026 | xGtoday


Ajax
Ranking: #123 overall, #5 in Netherlands

69.4 → 70.7 (+1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 17 May Heerenveen (A) 69.2 +0.1
2-0 21 May Groningen (H) 69.8 +0.6
1-1 24 May Utrecht (H) 69.8 0.0
0-2 09 Aug Zwolle (A) 70.4 +0.6
2-2 16 Aug Heerenveen (H) 70.7 +0.3
Excelsior
Ranking: #361 overall, #11 in Netherlands

57.8 → 60.8 (+3.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 May Volendam (H) 59.8 -0.4
2-3 17 May Sparta R'dam (A) 59.8 0.0
0-4 07 Aug Cambuur (A) 61.0 +1.2
1-2 15 Aug PSV (H) 60.8 -0.2
2-1 29 Aug Sparta R'dam (H) 60.8 0.0

Ajax vs Excelsior: by the numbers

There are 238 places between these two in our European rankings, with Ajax the higher, and 6 places between them in Netherlands.

Over their last 10 matches Excelsior have moved +3.0 rating points, against +1.3 for Ajax.

Last time these teams played, on 1 Feb 2026, Excelsior gained 0.4 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Ajax have ever held is 88.3, first set on 23 Apr 2022.

The highest Excelsior have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #260, first reached on 26 Jul 2018.