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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
58.8 → 58.9 (+0.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 01 May Cosenza (H) | 59.9 +0.3 | |
| 05 May Palermo (A) | 59.6 -0.3 | |
| 10 May Pisa (H) | 59.3 -0.3 | |
| 23 Aug Verona (A) | 59.1 -0.2 | |
| 29 Aug Carrarese (H) | 58.9 -0.2 |
58.1 → 58.5 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 01 May Empoli (A) | 59.0 -0.6 | |
| 08 May Modena (H) | 59.7 +0.7 | |
| 12 May Catanzaro (A) | 59.3 -0.4 | |
| 22 Aug Arezzo (H) | 58.4 -0.9 | |
| 29 Aug Vicenza (H) | 58.5 +0.1 |
Avellino trail Ascoli by 9 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 2 in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Avellino have moved +0.4 rating points, against +0.1 for Ascoli.
The best xGtoday rating Ascoli have ever held is 66.1, first set on 27 Aug 2022.
The highest Avellino have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #352, first reached on 18 Oct 2025.