Burnley vs Derby County prediction | 19 Sep 2026 | xGtoday


Burnley
Ranking: #170 overall, #24 in England

68.5 → 68.1 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 18 May Arsenal (A) 68.7 0.0
1-1 24 May Wolves (H) 68.0 -0.7
2-2 16 Aug West Ham (H) 68.9 +0.9
3-1 23 Aug West Brom (A) 68.7 -0.2
4-1 29 Aug Norwich City (A) 68.1 -0.6
Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4

Burnley vs Derby County: by the numbers

Derby County trail Burnley by 91 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 13 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Burnley have moved -0.4 rating points, against -2.8 for Derby County.

Last time these teams played, on 8 Apr 2025, Derby County gained 0.6 rating points.

Burnley first climbed to joint #36 in our European rankings on 30 Nov 2019.

The best xGtoday rating Derby County have ever held is 68.4, first set on 22 Dec 2018.