Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction | 20 Sep 2026 | xGtoday


Atlético Madrid
Ranking: #45 overall, #5 in Spain

80.0 → 78.6 (-1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 17 May Girona (H) 80.6 -0.5
5-1 24 May Villarreal (A) 80.0 -0.6
2-0 19 Aug Málaga (H) 80.1 +0.1
2-2 23 Aug Villarreal (H) 78.6 -1.5
1-3 29 Aug Sevilla (A) 78.6 0.0
Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

90.6 → 90.2 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 14 May Oviedo (H) 89.6 -0.4
0-1 17 May Sevilla (A) 89.4 -0.2
4-2 23 May Athletic Club (H) 89.6 +0.2
1-2 22 Aug Espanyol (A) 90.0 +0.4
4-1 26 Aug Real Sociedad (H) 90.2 +0.2

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid: by the numbers

Real Madrid sit 39 places above Atlético Madrid in our European rankings, and 3 places above them in Spain.

The recent trend shows Real Madrid on the rise, -0.4 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Atlético Madrid has gone the other way at -1.4.

Real Madrid gained 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 22 Mar 2026.

The highest Atlético Madrid have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #6, first reached on 14 Dec 2019.

Real Madrid first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 94.3 on 8 Apr 2018.