Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Ajax
Ranking: #123 overall, #5 in Netherlands

69.4 → 70.7 (+1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 17 May Heerenveen (A) 69.2 +0.1
2-0 21 May Groningen (H) 69.8 +0.6
1-1 24 May Utrecht (H) 69.8 0.0
0-2 09 Aug Zwolle (A) 70.4 +0.6
2-2 16 Aug Heerenveen (H) 70.7 +0.3
NEC Nijmegen
Ranking: #172 overall, #7 in Netherlands

66.6 → 68.0 (+1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-1 10 May Groningen (A) 67.5 -0.5
2-1 17 May Go Ahead (H) 68.0 +0.5
1-2 08 Aug Telstar (H) 67.8 -0.2
1-4 15 Aug Willem II (A) 68.3 +0.5
1-3 29 Aug Zwolle (A) 68.0 -0.3

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: by the numbers

There are 49 places between these two in our European rankings, with Ajax the higher, and 2 places between them in Netherlands.

Over their last 10 matches NEC Nijmegen have moved +1.4 rating points, against +1.3 for Ajax.

Last time these teams played, on 21 Feb 2026, NEC Nijmegen came away with their rating unchanged.

The best xGtoday rating Ajax have ever held is 88.3, first set on 23 Apr 2022.

The highest NEC Nijmegen have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #159, first reached on 15 Aug 2026.