Arsenal vs Leeds United prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

95.9 → 93.7 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 10 May West Ham (A) 93.9 -0.4
1-0 18 May Burnley (H) 93.9 0.0
1-2 24 May Crystal Palace (A) 94.5 +0.6
1-1 30 May PSG (A) 93.6 -0.9
3-0 21 Aug Coventry (H) 93.7 +0.1
Leeds United
Ranking: #30 overall, #12 in England

82.7 → 81.7 (-1.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 01 May Burnley (H) 83.9 +0.1
1-1 11 May Tottenham (A) 83.9 0.0
1-0 17 May Brighton (H) 82.5 -1.4
3-0 24 May West Ham (A) 81.8 -0.7
0-1 22 Aug Nottm Forest (A) 81.7 -0.1

Arsenal vs Leeds United: by the numbers

Arsenal sit 28 places above Leeds United in our European rankings, and 11 places above them in England.

The recent trend shows Leeds United on the rise, -1.0 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Arsenal has gone the other way at -2.2.

Leeds United lost 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 31 Jan 2026.

Arsenal first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 96.8 on 7 Feb 2026.

The highest Leeds United have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #17, first reached on 20 Apr 2026.