Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #8 overall, #4 in England

90.2 → 86.6 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 04 May Nottm Forest (H) 87.9 -0.3
1-1 09 May Liverpool (A) 88.0 +0.1
2-1 19 May Tottenham (H) 87.0 -1.0
2-1 24 May Sunderland (A) 86.0 -1.0
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6
Bournemouth
Ranking: #18 overall, #9 in England

83.1 → 84.2 (+1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 May Fulham (A) 84.7 -0.5
1-1 19 May Man City (H) 85.3 +0.6
1-1 24 May Nottm Forest (A) 84.7 -0.6
2-1 23 Aug Man City (A) 84.3 -0.4
1-1 29 Aug Everton (H) 84.2 -0.1

Chelsea vs Bournemouth: by the numbers

Bournemouth trail Chelsea by 10 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 5 in England.

Bournemouth arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Chelsea's -3.6.

Last time these teams played, on 30 Dec 2025, Chelsea lost 0.8 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Chelsea have ever held is 94.6, first set on 22 Aug 2021.

The highest Bournemouth have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #12, first reached on 3 Feb 2025.