Derby County vs Wrexham prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4
Wrexham
Ranking: #228 overall, #31 in England

64.2 → 65.0 (+0.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 26 Apr Coventry (A) 64.2 +0.2
2-2 02 May Boro (H) 64.2 0.0
1-1 17 Aug Cardiff City (A) 64.6 +0.4
1-1 22 Aug Watford (H) 65.2 +0.6
1-2 28 Aug Birmingham (H) 65.0 -0.2

Derby County vs Wrexham: by the numbers

Wrexham sit 33 places above Derby County in our European rankings, and 6 places above them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Wrexham have moved +0.8 rating points, against -2.8 for Derby County.

Last time these teams played, on 4 Jan 2026, Derby County lost 0.3 rating points.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 Dec 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Wrexham have ever held is 66.0, first set on 21 Feb 2026.