Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Liverpool
Ranking: #7 overall, #3 in England

88.9 → 87.8 (-1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 09 May Chelsea (H) 87.6 -0.1
4-2 15 May Aston Villa (A) 87.2 -0.4
1-1 24 May Brentford (H) 87.7 +0.5
2-2 23 Aug Newcastle (A) 88.6 +0.9
2-2 29 Aug Nottm Forest (H) 87.8 -0.8
Manchester City
Ranking: #4 overall, #2 in England

91.2 → 91.0 (-0.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 13 May Crystal Palace (H) 91.1 +0.3
1-1 19 May Bournemouth (A) 90.5 -0.6
1-2 24 May Aston Villa (H) 89.7 -0.8
2-1 23 Aug Bournemouth (H) 90.1 +0.4
1-4 28 Aug Crystal Palace (A) 91.0 +0.9

Liverpool vs Manchester City: by the numbers

There are 3 places between these two in our European rankings, with Manchester City the higher, and 1 place between them in England.

Manchester City arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.2 rating points over their last 10 matches against Liverpool's -1.1.

Last time these teams played, on 8 Feb 2026, Liverpool lost 1.2 rating points.

Liverpool first climbed to #1 in our European rankings on 29 Dec 2018.

Manchester City first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 99.5 on 6 Sep 2022.