Real Madrid vs Villarreal CF prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

90.0 → 91.4 (+1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-1 26 Aug Real Sociedad (H) 90.2 +0.2
4-0 30 Aug Málaga (H) 90.3 +0.1
1-0 04 Sep Betis (A) 90.9 +0.6
2-1 08 Sep Inter (H) 91.3 +0.4
4-1 12 Sep Rayo (H) 91.4 +0.1
Villarreal CF
Ranking: #29 overall, #3 in Spain

82.0 → 81.7 (-0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 16 Aug Racing Sant (A) 80.1 -1.0
2-2 23 Aug Atl Madrid (A) 81.6 +1.5
1-0 28 Aug Alavés (A) 82.4 +0.8
2-3 05 Sep La Coruña (H) 82.1 -0.3
3-2 08 Sep Dortmund (A) 81.7 -0.4

Real Madrid vs Villarreal CF: by the numbers

Real Madrid sit 23 places above Villarreal CF in our European rankings, and 1 place above them in Spain.

Over their last 10 matches Real Madrid have moved +1.4 rating points, against -0.3 for Villarreal CF.

Villarreal CF lost 0.6 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 24 Jan 2026.

Real Madrid first climbed to #3 in our European rankings on 26 Jul 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Villarreal CF have ever held is 85.6, first set on 16 Mar 2022.