Watford vs Burnley prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Watford
Ranking: #257 overall, #36 in England

64.9 → 63.7 (-1.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
5-1 25 Apr Boro (A) 63.4 -0.2
0-4 02 May Coventry (H) 63.8 +0.4
2-1 16 Aug Southampton (H) 63.3 -0.5
1-1 22 Aug Wrexham (A) 62.7 -0.6
1-1 29 Aug West Ham (H) 63.7 +1.0
Burnley
Ranking: #170 overall, #24 in England

68.5 → 68.1 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 18 May Arsenal (A) 68.7 0.0
1-1 24 May Wolves (H) 68.0 -0.7
2-2 16 Aug West Ham (H) 68.9 +0.9
3-1 23 Aug West Brom (A) 68.7 -0.2
4-1 29 Aug Norwich City (A) 68.1 -0.6

Watford vs Burnley: by the numbers

There are 87 places between these two in our European rankings, with Burnley the higher, and 12 places between them in England.

Burnley arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.4 rating points over their last 10 matches against Watford's -1.2.

Last time these teams played, on 18 Apr 2025, Watford lost 0.5 rating points.

Watford first climbed to joint #33 in our European rankings on 8 Nov 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Burnley have ever held is 79.3, first set on 30 Nov 2019.