Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction | 11 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Liverpool
Ranking: #7 overall, #3 in England

89.7 → 87.3 (-2.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 24 May Brentford (H) 87.7 +0.5
2-2 23 Aug Newcastle (A) 88.6 +0.9
2-2 29 Aug Nottm Forest (H) 87.8 -0.8
0-2 04 Sep Ipswich (A) 87.3 -0.5
2-1 09 Sep Atl Madrid (H) 87.3 0.0
Manchester City
Ranking: #5 overall, #2 in England

91.3 → 91.6 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-2 24 May Aston Villa (H) 89.7 -0.8
2-1 23 Aug Bournemouth (H) 90.1 +0.4
1-4 28 Aug Crystal Palace (A) 91.0 +0.9
1-0 05 Sep Coventry (H) 90.9 -0.1
0-2 08 Sep Porto (A) 91.6 +0.7

Liverpool vs Manchester City: by the numbers

Liverpool trail Manchester City by 2 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 1 in England.

Manchester City arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Liverpool's -2.4.

Liverpool lost 1.2 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 8 Feb 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Liverpool have ever held is 97.6, first set on 1 Feb 2025.

The highest Manchester City have ever stood in our European rankings is #1, first reached on 26 Jul 2018.