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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
57.8 → 56.0 (-1.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 May Cesena (A) | 56.8 +0.2 | |
| 23 Aug Pisa (A) | 57.1 +0.3 | |
| 29 Aug Verona (H) | 57.0 -0.1 | |
| 06 Sep Cremonese (A) | 56.8 -0.2 | |
| 12 Sep Ascoli (H) | 56.0 -0.8 |
63.0 → 61.2 (-1.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 May Entella (A) | 62.0 -0.6 | |
| 22 Aug Mantova (H) | 61.7 -0.3 | |
| 29 Aug Ascoli (A) | 61.8 +0.1 | |
| 05 Sep Empoli (H) | 61.8 0.0 | |
| 12 Sep Catanzaro (A) | 61.2 -0.6 |
Carrarese sit 126 places above Padova in our European rankings, and 19 places above them in Italy.
Padova lost 0.6 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 10 Feb 2026.
The best xGtoday rating Padova have ever held is 64.4, first set on 1 Sep 2018.
Carrarese first climbed to joint #281 in our European rankings on 12 Apr 2026.