Real Madrid vs Villarreal CF prediction | 11 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

90.6 → 90.2 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 14 May Oviedo (H) 89.6 -0.4
0-1 17 May Sevilla (A) 89.4 -0.2
4-2 23 May Athletic Club (H) 89.6 +0.2
1-2 22 Aug Espanyol (A) 90.0 +0.4
4-1 26 Aug Real Sociedad (H) 90.2 +0.2
Villarreal CF
Ranking: #24 overall, #3 in Spain

82.1 → 82.4 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 17 May Rayo (A) 80.5 -0.3
5-1 24 May Atl Madrid (H) 81.1 +0.6
2-2 16 Aug Racing Sant (A) 80.1 -1.0
2-2 23 Aug Atl Madrid (A) 81.6 +1.5
1-0 28 Aug Alavés (A) 82.4 +0.8

Real Madrid vs Villarreal CF: by the numbers

Villarreal CF trail Real Madrid by 18 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 1 in Spain.

Villarreal CF arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Real Madrid's -0.4.

Last time these teams played, on 24 Jan 2026, Villarreal CF lost 0.6 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Real Madrid have ever held is 94.3, first set on 8 Apr 2018.

Villarreal CF first climbed to joint #12 in our European rankings on 15 Jan 2022.