Roma vs Real Madrid prediction | 14 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Roma
Ranking: #21 overall, #3 in Italy

80.0 → 83.5 (+3.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-0 04 May Fiorentina (H) 81.7 +0.7
2-3 10 May Parma (A) 82.2 +0.5
2-0 17 May Lazio (H) 82.2 0.0
0-2 24 May Verona (A) 82.9 +0.7
4-0 24 Aug Fiorentina (H) 83.5 +0.6
Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

90.6 → 90.2 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 14 May Oviedo (H) 89.6 -0.4
0-1 17 May Sevilla (A) 89.4 -0.2
4-2 23 May Athletic Club (H) 89.6 +0.2
1-2 22 Aug Espanyol (A) 90.0 +0.4
4-1 26 Aug Real Sociedad (H) 90.2 +0.2

Roma vs Real Madrid: by the numbers

Roma trail Real Madrid by 15 places in our proprietary European rankings.

Over their last 10 matches Roma have moved +3.5 rating points, against -0.4 for Real Madrid.

Roma gained 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 27 Nov 2018.

Roma first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 88.1 on 27 Jul 2017.

The highest Real Madrid have ever stood in our European rankings is #3, first reached on 26 Jul 2018.