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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
65.0 → 65.5 (+0.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov Gent (H) | 64.1 -0.7 | |
| 12 Dec Legia Warsaw (A) | 64.8 +0.7 | |
| 19 Dec Pafos FC (H) | 65.3 +0.5 | |
| 06 Mar NK Celje (A) | 66.2 +0.9 | |
| 13 Mar NK Celje (H) | 65.5 -0.7 |
71.2 → 72.4 (+1.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec Sturm Graz (A) | 70.7 0.0 | |
| 22 Jan Malmö (A) | 71.0 +0.3 | |
| 29 Jan Celta Vigo (H) | 70.9 -0.1 | |
| 19 Feb Lille (A) | 72.5 +1.6 | |
| 26 Feb Lille (H) | 72.4 -0.1 |
Crvena zvezda (Red Star) sit 118 places above FC Lugano in our European rankings.
Over their last 10 matches Crvena zvezda (Red Star) have moved +1.2 rating points, against +0.5 for FC Lugano.
The best xGtoday rating FC Lugano have ever held is 66.2, first set on 6 Mar 2025.
Crvena zvezda (Red Star) first climbed to joint #90 in our European rankings on 24 Feb 2026.