1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

1. FC Union Berlin Rating: 75.5
H
26%
5.00
17 October 2026
Bundesliga
D
28%
4.48
Borussia Dortmund Rating: 85.2
A
46%
1.63
1. FC Union Berlin
Ranking: #68 overall, #11 in Germany

75.7 → 75.5 (-0.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-3 29 Aug Frankfurt (H) 76.4 0.0
4-0 05 Sep Leverkusen (A) 76.0 -0.4
1-3 11 Sep Schalke 04 (H) 75.2 -0.8
7-0 18 Sep Bayern Munich (A) 75.1 -0.1
1-0 10 Oct Elversberg (H) 75.5 +0.4
Borussia Dortmund
Ranking: #11 overall, #2 in Germany

83.8 → 85.2 (+1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-2 08 Sep Villarreal (H) 85.2 +0.4
3-0 12 Sep Paderborn 07 (H) 85.3 +0.1
0-1 19 Sep Stuttgart (A) 85.6 +0.3
2-2 09 Oct Bremen (H) 85.7 +0.1
1-0 14 Oct Bodø/Glimt (A) 85.2 -0.5

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: by the numbers

Borussia Dortmund sit 57 places above 1. FC Union Berlin in our European rankings, and 9 places above them in Germany.

Borussia Dortmund arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.4 rating points over their last 10 matches against 1. FC Union Berlin's -0.2.

Borussia Dortmund gained 0.2 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 24 January 2026.

The highest 1. FC Union Berlin have ever stood in our European rankings is #28, first reached on 16 February 2023.

Borussia Dortmund first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.7 on 23 September 2017.