1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


1. FC Union Berlin
Ranking: #56 overall, #8 in Germany

75.4 → 76.4 (+1.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 24 Apr RB Leipzig (A) 75.2 -0.5
2-2 02 May Köln (H) 74.5 -0.7
1-3 10 May Mainz 05 (A) 75.6 +1.1
4-0 16 May Augsburg (H) 76.4 +0.8
3-3 29 Aug Frankfurt (H) 76.4 0.0
Borussia Dortmund
Ranking: #16 overall, #2 in Germany

85.3 → 84.6 (-0.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-0 26 Apr Freiburg (H) 85.2 +0.4
1-0 03 May Gladbach (A) 83.8 -1.4
3-2 08 May Frankfurt (H) 83.9 +0.1
0-2 16 May Bremen (A) 84.8 +0.9
2-0 29 Aug Hamburg (H) 84.6 -0.2

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: by the numbers

Borussia Dortmund sit 40 places above 1. FC Union Berlin in our European rankings, and 6 places above them in Germany.

1. FC Union Berlin arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.0 rating points over their last 10 matches against Borussia Dortmund's -0.7.

Borussia Dortmund gained 0.2 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 24 Jan 2026.

The highest 1. FC Union Berlin have ever stood in our European rankings is #28, first reached on 16 Feb 2023.

Borussia Dortmund first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.7 on 23 Sep 2017.