Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Bournemouth
Ranking: #18 overall, #9 in England

83.1 → 84.2 (+1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 May Fulham (A) 84.7 -0.5
1-1 19 May Man City (H) 85.3 +0.6
1-1 24 May Nottm Forest (A) 84.7 -0.6
2-1 23 Aug Man City (A) 84.3 -0.4
1-1 29 Aug Everton (H) 84.2 -0.1
Sunderland
Ranking: #80 overall, #20 in England

71.8 → 74.1 (+2.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 02 May Wolves (A) 72.6 -0.6
0-0 09 May Man United (H) 73.4 +0.8
1-3 17 May Everton (A) 73.7 +0.3
2-1 24 May Chelsea (H) 74.7 +1.0
2-1 22 Aug Ipswich (A) 74.1 -0.6

Bournemouth vs Sunderland: by the numbers

Sunderland trail Bournemouth by 62 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 11 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Sunderland have moved +2.3 rating points, against +1.1 for Bournemouth.

Bournemouth lost 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 28 Feb 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Bournemouth have ever held is 86.4, first set on 25 Jan 2025.

Sunderland first climbed to joint #72 in our European rankings on 26 May 2026.