Derby County vs Stoke City prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

17 October 2026
D
27%
3.58

Derby County
Ranking: #289 overall, #39 in England

65.7 → 63.1 (-2.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1
1-1 19 Sep Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
1-1 10 Oct Wrexham (H) 63.3 -0.8
4-1 14 Oct QPR (A) 63.1 -0.2
Stoke City
Ranking: #417 overall, #49 in England

60.2 → 59.1 (-1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 08 Sep Cardiff City (A) 59.3 -0.7
1-2 12 Sep Watford (A) 60.3 +1.0
2-1 19 Sep Sheff Utd (H) 60.5 +0.2
1-2 10 Oct Bolton (A) 59.5 -1.0
2-3 13 Oct Boro (H) 59.1 -0.4

Derby County vs Stoke City: by the numbers

Stoke City trail Derby County by 128 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 10 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Stoke City have moved -1.1 rating points, against -2.6 for Derby County.

Derby County gained 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 6 April 2026.

Derby County first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 68.4 on 22 December 2018.

The highest Stoke City have ever stood in our European rankings is #113, first reached on 22 September 2018.