Derby County vs Stoke City prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Derby County
Ranking: #261 overall, #37 in England

66.4 → 63.6 (-2.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 25 Apr QPR (A) 65.7 -0.8
1-2 02 May Sheff Utd (H) 65.8 +0.1
2-1 15 Aug Charlton (A) 65.7 -0.1
2-2 22 Aug Cardiff City (H) 65.0 -0.7
0-3 29 Aug Swansea City (H) 63.6 -1.4
Stoke City
Ranking: #396 overall, #49 in England

62.0 → 59.7 (-2.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 25 Apr Portsmouth (H) 60.6 0.0
2-0 02 May Bristol City (A) 60.1 -0.5
1-2 15 Aug Swansea City (H) 60.2 +0.1
3-1 22 Aug Southampton (A) 59.9 -0.3
4-1 29 Aug Wolves (A) 59.7 -0.2

Derby County vs Stoke City: by the numbers

Stoke City trail Derby County by 135 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 12 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Stoke City have moved -2.3 rating points, against -2.8 for Derby County.

Derby County gained 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 6 Apr 2026.

Derby County first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 68.4 on 22 Dec 2018.

The highest Stoke City have ever stood in our European rankings is #113, first reached on 22 Sep 2018.