Everton vs Chelsea prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Everton
Ranking: #43 overall, #16 in England

79.8 → 79.1 (-0.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 10 May Crystal Palace (A) 80.2 -0.4
1-3 17 May Sunderland (H) 79.9 -0.3
1-0 24 May Tottenham (A) 79.6 -0.3
2-0 22 Aug Crystal Palace (H) 79.0 -0.6
1-1 29 Aug Bournemouth (A) 79.1 +0.1
Chelsea
Ranking: #8 overall, #4 in England

90.2 → 86.6 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 04 May Nottm Forest (H) 87.9 -0.3
1-1 09 May Liverpool (A) 88.0 +0.1
2-1 19 May Tottenham (H) 87.0 -1.0
2-1 24 May Sunderland (A) 86.0 -1.0
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6

Everton vs Chelsea: by the numbers

Everton trail Chelsea by 35 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 12 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Everton have moved -0.7 rating points, against -3.6 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 21 Mar 2026, Everton gained 0.5 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Everton have ever held is 83.9, first set on 1 Mar 2020.

The highest Chelsea have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 5 May 2021.