Everton vs Chelsea prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

17 October 2026
D
28%
3.75

Everton
Ranking: #38 overall, #16 in England

80.6 → 80.0 (-0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 29 Aug Bournemouth (A) 79.1 +0.1
2-2 06 Sep Man United (H) 79.5 +0.4
0-0 12 Sep Tottenham (A) 80.0 +0.5
1-0 19 Sep Ipswich (H) 80.2 +0.2
2-2 11 Oct Hull City (A) 80.0 -0.2
Chelsea
Ranking: #15 overall, #6 in England

87.9 → 84.6 (-3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4

Everton vs Chelsea: by the numbers

Everton trail Chelsea by 23 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 10 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Everton have moved -0.6 rating points, against -3.3 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 21 March 2026, Everton gained 0.5 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Everton have ever held is 83.9, first set on 1 March 2020.

The highest Chelsea have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 5 May 2021.