FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

FC Schalke 04 Rating: 72.3
H
30%
3.15
17 October 2026
Bundesliga
D
28%
3.80
1. FSV Mainz 05 Rating: 80.3
A
42%
2.30
FC Schalke 04
Ranking: #104 overall, #18 in Germany

71.2 → 72.3 (+1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 30 Aug Augsburg (A) 72.0 -0.5
0-0 05 Sep Bayern Munich (H) 71.8 -0.2
1-3 11 Sep Union Berlin (A) 72.6 +0.8
0-0 20 Sep Elversberg (H) 72.4 -0.2
2-1 11 Oct Freiburg (A) 72.3 -0.1
1. FSV Mainz 05
Ranking: #36 overall, #6 in Germany

78.2 → 80.3 (+2.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 29 Aug Paderborn 07 (H) 79.3 -0.1
0-5 06 Sep Hamburg (A) 80.3 +1.0
1-3 12 Sep Frankfurt (H) 79.9 -0.4
3-4 19 Sep Gladbach (A) 79.5 -0.4
3-4 10 Oct Leverkusen (H) 80.3 +0.8

FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05: by the numbers

1. FSV Mainz 05 sit 68 places above FC Schalke 04 in our European rankings, and 12 places above them in Germany.

1. FSV Mainz 05 arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against FC Schalke 04's +1.1.

Last time these teams played, on 5 May 2023, 1. FSV Mainz 05 lost 1.4 rating points.

FC Schalke 04 first climbed to #27 in our European rankings on 22 December 2018.

1. FSV Mainz 05 first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 80.7 on 31 August 2025.