Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Hamburger SV Rating: 71.0
H
23%
4.32
17 October 2026
Bundesliga
D
28%
4.20
VfB Stuttgart Rating: 82.4
A
49%
1.83
Hamburger SV
Ranking: #122 overall, #20 in Germany

69.9 → 71.0 (+1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 29 Aug Dortmund (A) 71.3 +0.1
0-5 06 Sep Mainz 05 (H) 70.3 -1.0
5-0 13 Sep RB Leipzig (A) 70.2 -0.1
2-1 19 Sep Köln (H) 70.2 0.0
2-3 10 Oct Hoffenheim (A) 71.0 +0.8
VfB Stuttgart
Ranking: #22 overall, #4 in Germany

82.6 → 82.4 (-0.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 09 Sep Viking (H) 82.6 +0.2
2-1 12 Sep Hoffenheim (A) 82.3 -0.3
0-1 19 Sep Dortmund (H) 82.0 -0.3
0-2 10 Oct Paderborn 07 (A) 82.1 +0.1
0-3 14 Oct Slovan (A) 82.4 +0.3

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: by the numbers

Hamburger SV trail VfB Stuttgart by 100 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 16 in Germany.

The recent trend shows Hamburger SV on the rise, +1.1 rating points over their last 10 matches, while VfB Stuttgart has gone the other way at -0.2.

Hamburger SV lost 0.2 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 12 April 2026.

The highest Hamburger SV have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #51, first reached on 16 February 2020.

The best xGtoday rating VfB Stuttgart have ever held is 87.9, first set on 26 October 2024.