Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Newcastle United
Ranking: #20 overall, #10 in England

85.8 → 83.7 (-2.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 May Nottm Forest (A) 85.8 +0.3
3-1 17 May West Ham (H) 85.9 +0.1
2-0 24 May Fulham (A) 84.9 -1.0
2-2 23 Aug Liverpool (H) 84.0 -0.9
0-2 29 Aug Tottenham (A) 83.7 -0.3
Aston Villa
Ranking: #23 overall, #11 in England

83.1 → 82.7 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 10 May Burnley (A) 81.6 -0.7
4-2 15 May Liverpool (H) 82.0 +0.4
0-3 20 May Freiburg (A) 82.7 +0.7
1-2 24 May Man City (A) 83.5 +0.8
4-0 23 Aug Brighton (A) 82.7 -0.8

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: by the numbers

There are 3 places between these two in our European rankings, with Newcastle United the higher, and 1 place between them in England.

The recent trend shows Aston Villa on the rise, -0.4 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Newcastle United has gone the other way at -2.1.

Last time these teams played, on 25 Jan 2026, Aston Villa lost 0.3 rating points.

Newcastle United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.2 on 25 Oct 2025.

Aston Villa first climbed to joint #16 in our European rankings on 7 Jan 2024.