Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

17 October 2026
D
28%
3.77

Newcastle United
Ranking: #27 overall, #13 in England

85.5 → 81.6 (-3.9 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 29 Aug Tottenham (A) 83.7 -0.3
2-2 05 Sep Bournemouth (H) 83.1 -0.6
4-1 14 Sep Leeds Utd (A) 82.5 -0.6
2-1 19 Sep Hull City (H) 81.7 -0.8
4-1 12 Oct Coventry (A) 81.6 -0.1
Aston Villa
Ranking: #19 overall, #9 in England

82.7 → 83.3 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 08 Sep Club Brugge (A) 83.8 +1.1
1-2 12 Sep Nottm Forest (H) 82.5 -1.3
2-3 19 Sep Tottenham (A) 82.4 -0.1
2-2 10 Oct Brentford (H) 83.1 +0.7
6-0 14 Oct Fenerbahçe (H) 83.3 +0.2

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: by the numbers

There are 8 places between these two in our European rankings, with Aston Villa the higher, and 4 places between them in England.

The recent trend shows Aston Villa on the rise, +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Newcastle United has gone the other way at -3.9.

Last time these teams played, on 25 January 2026, Aston Villa lost 0.3 rating points.

Newcastle United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.2 on 25 October 2025.

Aston Villa first climbed to joint #16 in our European rankings on 7 January 2024.