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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
80.1 → 83.6 (+3.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 24 May Verona (A) | 82.9 +0.7 | |
| 24 Aug Fiorentina (H) | 83.5 +0.6 | |
| 31 Aug Lecce (A) | 84.0 +0.5 | |
| 05 Sep Atalanta (H) | 84.7 +0.7 | |
| 10 Sep Fenerbahçe (A) | 83.6 -1.1 |
75.4 → 73.2 (-2.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 17 May Milan (H) | 74.7 -0.2 | |
| 24 May Lecce (A) | 74.1 -0.6 | |
| 22 Aug Napoli (H) | 74.2 +0.1 | |
| 30 Aug Lazio (A) | 73.6 -0.6 | |
| 04 Sep Como (H) | 73.2 -0.4 |
Genoa trail Roma by 73 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 10 in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Roma have moved +3.5 rating points, against -2.2 for Genoa.
Last time these teams played, on 8 Mar 2026, Roma lost 1.6 rating points.
Roma first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 88.1 on 27 Jul 2017.
Genoa first climbed to joint #46 in our European rankings on 18 Aug 2018.