SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction | 17 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

SV Werder Bremen Rating: 74.2
H
54%
1.83
17 October 2026
Bundesliga
D
26%
4.30
SC Paderborn 07 Rating: 71.2
A
20%
4.18
SV Werder Bremen
Ranking: #79 overall, #13 in Germany

76.9 → 74.2 (-2.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-1 30 Aug Freiburg (A) 74.1 -0.6
3-1 05 Sep RB Leipzig (H) 73.7 -0.4
1-1 12 Sep Köln (A) 73.7 0.0
3-2 19 Sep Augsburg (H) 74.3 +0.6
2-2 09 Oct Dortmund (A) 74.2 -0.1
SC Paderborn 07
Ranking: #118 overall, #19 in Germany

71.6 → 71.2 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 29 Aug Mainz 05 (A) 72.3 +0.1
0-1 05 Sep Freiburg (H) 72.0 -0.3
3-0 12 Sep Dortmund (A) 71.8 -0.2
3-1 20 Sep Hoffenheim (H) 71.4 -0.4
0-2 10 Oct Stuttgart (H) 71.2 -0.2

SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: by the numbers

SC Paderborn 07 trail SV Werder Bremen by 39 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 6 in Germany.

SC Paderborn 07 arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.4 rating points over their last 10 matches against SV Werder Bremen's -2.7.

SV Werder Bremen lost 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 22 January 2022.

The best xGtoday rating SV Werder Bremen have ever held is 79.6, first set on 14 September 2025.

SC Paderborn 07 first climbed to joint #72 in our European rankings on 2 October 2025.