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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
61.2 → 63.1 (+1.9 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 08 May Reggiana (A) | 61.8 -0.2 | |
| 23 Aug Cesena (A) | 61.7 -0.1 | |
| 29 Aug Juve Stabia (H) | 61.9 +0.2 | |
| 07 Sep Palermo (A) | 62.4 +0.5 | |
| 13 Sep Mantova (A) | 63.1 +0.7 |
57.7 → 57.5 (-0.2 over last 4 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug Avellino (A) | 57.7 +0.9 | |
| 30 Aug Palermo (H) | 57.2 -0.5 | |
| 06 Sep Verona (A) | 57.0 -0.2 | |
| 11 Sep Empoli (A) | 57.5 +0.5 |
Sampdoria sit 163 places above Arezzo in our European rankings, and 21 places above them in Italy.
Sampdoria arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.9 rating points over their last 10 matches; Arezzo have moved -0.2 over their last 4.
Sampdoria first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 78.2 on 8 Feb 2020.
Arezzo first climbed to joint #444 in our European rankings on 22 Aug 2026.