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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
82.6 → 82.4 (-0.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep Viking (H) | 82.6 +0.2 | |
| 12 Sep Hoffenheim (A) | 82.3 -0.3 | |
| 19 Sep Dortmund (H) | 82.0 -0.3 | |
| 10 Oct Paderborn 07 (A) | 82.1 +0.1 | |
| 14 Oct Slovan (A) | 82.4 +0.3 |
80.1 → 82.6 (+2.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep Real Sociedad (A) | 79.6 +1.1 | |
| 16 Sep Osasuna (H) | 80.4 +0.8 | |
| 20 Sep Real Madrid (H) | 81.9 +1.5 | |
| 10 Oct Alavés (A) | 82.4 +0.5 | |
| 13 Oct Man United (H) | 82.6 +0.2 |
There are 1 place between these two in our European rankings, with Atlético Madrid the higher.
Over their last 10 matches Atlético Madrid have moved +2.5 rating points, against -0.2 for VfB Stuttgart.
The best xGtoday rating VfB Stuttgart have ever held is 87.9, first set on 26 October 2024.
Atlético Madrid first climbed to joint #6 in our European rankings on 14 December 2019.