Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction | 21 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

90.6 → 90.2 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 14 May Oviedo (H) 89.6 -0.4
0-1 17 May Sevilla (A) 89.4 -0.2
4-2 23 May Athletic Club (H) 89.6 +0.2
1-2 22 Aug Espanyol (A) 90.0 +0.4
4-1 26 Aug Real Sociedad (H) 90.2 +0.2
RB Leipzig
Ranking: #29 overall, #5 in Germany

80.9 → 81.8 (+0.9 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 24 Apr Union Berlin (H) 82.4 +0.5
4-1 02 May Leverkusen (A) 81.7 -0.7
2-1 09 May St. Pauli (H) 81.6 -0.1
4-1 16 May Freiburg (A) 81.4 -0.2
3-0 29 Aug Gladbach (H) 81.8 +0.4

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: by the numbers

Real Madrid sit 23 places above RB Leipzig in our European rankings.

The recent trend shows RB Leipzig on the rise, +0.9 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Real Madrid has gone the other way at -0.4.

Last time these teams played, on 6 Mar 2024, Real Madrid lost 0.4 rating points.

The highest Real Madrid have ever stood in our European rankings is #3, first reached on 26 Jul 2018.

RB Leipzig first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.7 on 22 Feb 2020.