1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen prediction | 24 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

1. FSV Mainz 05 Rating: 80.3
H
62%
1.67
24 October 2026
Bundesliga
D
23%
4.23
SV Werder Bremen Rating: 74.2
A
15%
4.59
1. FSV Mainz 05
Ranking: #36 overall, #6 in Germany

78.2 → 80.3 (+2.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 29 Aug Paderborn 07 (H) 79.3 -0.1
0-5 06 Sep Hamburg (A) 80.3 +1.0
1-3 12 Sep Frankfurt (H) 79.9 -0.4
3-4 19 Sep Gladbach (A) 79.5 -0.4
3-4 10 Oct Leverkusen (H) 80.3 +0.8
SV Werder Bremen
Ranking: #79 overall, #13 in Germany

76.9 → 74.2 (-2.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-1 30 Aug Freiburg (A) 74.1 -0.6
3-1 05 Sep RB Leipzig (H) 73.7 -0.4
1-1 12 Sep Köln (A) 73.7 0.0
3-2 19 Sep Augsburg (H) 74.3 +0.6
2-2 09 Oct Dortmund (A) 74.2 -0.1

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen: by the numbers

SV Werder Bremen trail 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 43 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 7 in Germany.

1. FSV Mainz 05 arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against SV Werder Bremen's -2.7.

Last time these teams played, on 15 March 2026, SV Werder Bremen lost 0.3 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating 1. FSV Mainz 05 have ever held is 80.7, first set on 31 August 2025.

The highest SV Werder Bremen have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #41, first reached on 13 May 2025.