1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen prediction | 24 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

1. FSV Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Rating: 79.3
H
59%
24 Oct 2026
Bundesliga
D
23%
SV Werder Bremen Bremen Rating: 74.7
A
18%
1. FSV Mainz 05
Ranking: #41 overall, #6 in Germany

78.0 → 79.3 (+1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-4 25 Apr Bayern Munich (H) 79.0 +0.8
1-2 03 May St. Pauli (A) 79.8 +0.8
1-3 10 May Union Berlin (H) 78.6 -1.2
0-2 16 May Heidenheim (A) 79.4 +0.8
0-0 29 Aug Paderborn 07 (H) 79.3 -0.1
SV Werder Bremen
Ranking: #72 overall, #13 in Germany

78.7 → 74.7 (-4.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 18 Apr Hamburg (H) 76.9 +0.3
1-1 26 Apr Stuttgart (A) 76.7 -0.2
1-3 02 May Augsburg (H) 75.6 -1.1
1-0 09 May Hoffenheim (A) 75.6 0.0
0-2 16 May Dortmund (H) 74.7 -0.9

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen: by the numbers

SV Werder Bremen trail 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 31 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 7 in Germany.

1. FSV Mainz 05 arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +1.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against SV Werder Bremen's -4.0.

Last time these teams played, on 15 Mar 2026, SV Werder Bremen lost 0.3 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating 1. FSV Mainz 05 have ever held is 80.7, first set on 31 Aug 2025.

The highest SV Werder Bremen have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #41, first reached on 13 May 2025.