Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction | 24 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Aston Villa
Ranking: #23 overall, #11 in England

83.1 → 82.7 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 10 May Burnley (A) 81.6 -0.7
4-2 15 May Liverpool (H) 82.0 +0.4
0-3 20 May Freiburg (A) 82.7 +0.7
1-2 24 May Man City (A) 83.5 +0.8
4-0 23 Aug Brighton (A) 82.7 -0.8
Manchester City
Ranking: #4 overall, #2 in England

91.2 → 91.0 (-0.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 13 May Crystal Palace (H) 91.1 +0.3
1-1 19 May Bournemouth (A) 90.5 -0.6
1-2 24 May Aston Villa (H) 89.7 -0.8
2-1 23 Aug Bournemouth (H) 90.1 +0.4
1-4 28 Aug Crystal Palace (A) 91.0 +0.9

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: by the numbers

Aston Villa trail Manchester City by 19 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 9 in England.

The recent trend shows Manchester City on the rise, -0.2 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Aston Villa has gone the other way at -0.4.

Manchester City lost 0.8 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 24 May 2026.

The highest Aston Villa have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #16, first reached on 7 Jan 2024.

The best xGtoday rating Manchester City have ever held is 99.5, first set on 6 Sep 2022.