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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
67.2 → 65.7 (-1.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 01 May Reggiana (H) | 65.1 -1.2 | |
| 08 May Avellino (A) | 64.4 -0.7 | |
| 12 May Juve Stabia (H) | 64.7 +0.3 | |
| 22 Aug Benevento (A) | 64.8 +0.1 | |
| 28 Aug Cremonese (A) | 65.7 +0.9 |
64.1 → 63.5 (-0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr Sampdoria (H) | 63.8 -0.4 | |
| 01 May Carrarese (A) | 63.5 -0.3 | |
| 08 May Padova (H) | 63.4 -0.1 | |
| 23 Aug Sampdoria (H) | 63.5 +0.1 | |
| 29 Aug Entella (A) | 63.5 0.0 |
Modena sit 53 places above Cesena in our European rankings, and 5 places above them in Italy.
Over their last 10 matches Cesena have moved -0.6 rating points, against -1.5 for Modena.
Last time these teams played, on 7 Mar 2026, Cesena lost 0.3 rating points.
Modena first climbed to joint #146 in our European rankings on 10 Feb 2026.
Cesena first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 66.3 on 20 Dec 2025.