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match result explainer
FC Barcelona
93.8 -0.2
45%
1 - 1
27%
Real Madrid
94.2 +0.2
28%
Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
match prediction explainer
Manchester City
45%
2.21
27%
4.76
Liverpool
28%
3.56
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
There are 39 places between these two in our European rankings, with FC Twente the higher, and 2 places between them in Netherlands.
The recent trend shows FC Twente on the rise, +2.0 rating points over their last 10 matches, while AZ Alkmaar has also improved, albeit more slowly at +0.4.
AZ Alkmaar gained 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 3 May 2026.
The best xGtoday rating AZ Alkmaar have ever held is 76.2, first set on 29 August 2021.
FC Twente first climbed to #68 in our European rankings on 4 October 2026.