Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction | 31 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Ajax
Ranking: #108 overall, #4 in Netherlands

69.8 → 72.1 (+2.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 05 Sep PSV (H) 71.0 -0.1
1-5 12 Sep Fortuna (A) 71.6 +0.6
5-1 15 Sep Willem II (H) 71.7 +0.1
2-2 19 Sep Excelsior (H) 71.9 +0.2
1-1 10 Oct NEC (H) 72.1 +0.2
AZ Alkmaar
Ranking: #109 overall, #5 in Netherlands

71.6 → 72.0 (+0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 06 Sep Heerenveen (A) 72.6 -0.5
1-1 11 Sep Willem II (H) 72.7 +0.1
1-0 16 Sep Sunderland (A) 72.2 -0.5
1-0 20 Sep Telstar (H) 72.4 +0.2
2-0 10 Oct Feyenoord (A) 72.0 -0.4

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar: by the numbers

AZ Alkmaar trail Ajax by 1 place in our proprietary European rankings, and by 1 in Netherlands.

Ajax arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +2.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against AZ Alkmaar's +0.4.

Last time these teams played, on 8 February 2026, Ajax lost 0.3 rating points.

Ajax first climbed to joint #5 in our European rankings on 23 April 2022.

The best xGtoday rating AZ Alkmaar have ever held is 76.2, first set on 29 August 2021.