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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
59.6 → 60.4 (+0.8 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug Vicenza (H) | 58.5 +0.1 | |
| 06 Sep Modena (A) | 58.2 -0.3 | |
| 13 Sep Palermo (H) | 59.3 +1.1 | |
| 19 Sep Ascoli (A) | 59.5 +0.2 | |
| 09 Oct Sampdoria (H) | 60.4 +0.9 |
70.5 → 70.9 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Catanzaro (H) | 70.7 +0.4 | |
| 06 Sep Juve Stabia (A) | 71.1 +0.4 | |
| 11 Sep Entella (H) | 69.8 -1.3 | |
| 20 Sep Mantova (A) | 70.0 +0.2 | |
| 10 Oct Vicenza (A) | 70.9 +0.9 |
Pisa sit 259 places above Avellino in our European rankings, and 31 places above them in Italy.
Avellino arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.8 rating points over their last 10 matches against Pisa's +0.4.
The best xGtoday rating Avellino have ever held is 61.1, first set on 18 October 2025.
Pisa first climbed to joint #108 in our European rankings on 18 January 2026.