Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction | 31 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #15 overall, #6 in England

87.9 → 84.6 (-3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4
Manchester United
Ranking: #13 overall, #5 in England

85.3 → 85.0 (-0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
4-0 10 Sep Sabah (H) 86.3 +0.2
0-1 13 Sep Man City (H) 86.3 0.0
1-1 20 Sep Fulham (A) 86.2 -0.1
1-1 10 Oct Tottenham (H) 85.3 -0.9
2-0 13 Oct Atl Madrid (A) 85.0 -0.3

Chelsea vs Manchester United: by the numbers

There are 2 places between these two in our European rankings, with Manchester United the higher, and 1 place between them in England.

Manchester United arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Chelsea's -3.3.

Manchester United lost 0.4 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 18 April 2026.

The highest Chelsea have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 5 May 2021.

Manchester United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.9 on 30 September 2017.