Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction | 31 Oct 2026 | xGtoday


Chelsea
Ranking: #8 overall, #4 in England

90.2 → 86.6 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 04 May Nottm Forest (H) 87.9 -0.3
1-1 09 May Liverpool (A) 88.0 +0.1
2-1 19 May Tottenham (H) 87.0 -1.0
2-1 24 May Sunderland (A) 86.0 -1.0
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6
Manchester United
Ranking: #11 overall, #6 in England

86.3 → 86.2 (-0.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-2 03 May Liverpool (H) 85.5 +0.8
0-0 09 May Sunderland (A) 84.8 -0.7
3-2 17 May Nottm Forest (H) 85.3 +0.5
0-3 24 May Brighton (A) 86.2 +0.9
2-0 22 Aug Hull City (A) 86.2 0.0

Chelsea vs Manchester United: by the numbers

There are 3 places between these two in our European rankings, with Chelsea the higher, and 2 places between them in England.

Manchester United arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Chelsea's -3.6.

Manchester United lost 0.4 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 18 Apr 2026.

The highest Chelsea have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 5 May 2021.

Manchester United first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.9 on 30 Sep 2017.