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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
70.5 → 72.4 (+1.9 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec Brann (A) | 73.0 +1.2 | |
| 22 Jan Aston Villa (H) | 72.7 -0.3 | |
| 29 Jan FCSB (A) | 72.2 -0.5 | |
| 19 Feb Nottm Forest (H) | 71.3 -0.9 | |
| 26 Feb Nottm Forest (A) | 72.4 +1.1 |
88.9 → 87.8 (-1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 May Chelsea (H) | 87.6 -0.1 | |
| 15 May Aston Villa (A) | 87.2 -0.4 | |
| 24 May Brentford (H) | 87.7 +0.5 | |
| 23 Aug Newcastle (A) | 88.6 +0.9 | |
| 29 Aug Nottm Forest (H) | 87.8 -0.8 |
Fenerbahçe SK trail Liverpool by 99 places in our proprietary European rankings.
The recent trend shows Fenerbahçe SK on the rise, +1.9 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Liverpool has gone the other way at -1.1.
Fenerbahçe SK first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 73.0 on 11 Dec 2025.
Liverpool first climbed to #1 in our European rankings on 29 Dec 2018.